Veronika Podrez vs Madalena MatiasEupago Porto Open - Porto Round of 32

Eupago Porto Open - Porto · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#125WTA
1620ELO
1549Hard ELO
$123kYTD
$182kCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10
LWWWLLWLWL
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
Centre court · 4th on
#1410WTA
$3kYTD
$6kCAREER
17 yrs
Last 10
LLLWWLLLLW
Podrez V.
vs
Matias M.

Veronika Podrez faces Madalena Matias in the Eupago Porto Open - Porto round of 32 on hard. Veronika Podrez holds the paper edge — ranked #125.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Podrez V.96%
Matias M.4%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Podrez V. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Veronika Podrez 5 of 10, Madalena Matias 3 of 10 on hard recently — Veronika Podrez the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Veronika Podrez carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
1.41 of last 8 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

43 vs 5 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
55%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
65%
48%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
37%
Service points won·Clear edge
57%
43%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
39%
Break points saved·Dominant
56%
29%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
0.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.7
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Podrez V.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Matias M.

Matias M.serving31% hold

wins 42% of points on serve vs Podrez V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

When it starts

4th on Centre court · Followed By · 2 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Voloshchuk A. v Franco Dias T.
    6-06-2
  2. 2Jorge M. v Cervino Ruiz C.Live
    6-34-3
  3. 3Jorge F. v Pohankova M.
  4. 4Podrez V. v Matias M.This match

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw