Jennifer Ruggeri vs Julia Grabher — Tolentino Open - Tolentino Round of 32

Tolentino Open - Tolentino · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
ITA
Jennifer Ruggeri
#231WTA
1577ELO
1554Clay ELO
$52kYTD
$117kCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWWLLL
—
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
clay
Center Court · 4th on
Julia Grabher
AUT3
Julia Grabher
#111WTA
1613ELO
1593Clay ELO
$448kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWLLWLW
Ruggeri J.
vs
Grabher J.

Jennifer Ruggeri faces Julia Grabher in the Tolentino Open - Tolentino round of 32 on clay. Julia Grabher holds the paper edge — ranked #111, a roughly 40-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Ruggeri J.45%
Grabher J.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Jennifer Ruggeri carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Jennifer Ruggeri 1 of 4, Julia Grabher 2 of 4 on clay recently — Julia Grabher the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ruggeri J.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Grabher J.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1554
Surface ELO
5.5+39 Clay Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1577
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1613
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.65 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

40 vs 38 matches

Statistics

This season
Ruggeri J.Grabher J.
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
43%
Service points won·Even
55%
54%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Even
51%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.1
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.5
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Ruggeri J.serving45% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Grabher J.

Grabher J.serving34% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Ruggeri J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Ruggeri J.Grabher J.
Freshness·
78
—

Ruggeri J.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

4th on Center Court · Not before 8:00 PM · 2 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Brancaccio N. v Lourdes Carle M.
    6-34-66-4
  2. 2Zantedeschi A. v Lombardini M.Live
    4-3
  3. 3Pieri J. v De Angelis G.
  4. 4Ruggeri J. v Grabher J.This match

Conditions

Weather forecast
17°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 54%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw