Solana Sierra vs Deniz Dilek — Ankara Open - Ankara Round of 32

Ankara Open - Ankara · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Solana Sierra
ARG1
Solana Sierra
#91WTA
1783ELO
1657Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$2.0MCAREER
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLLLLWL
—
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
Turk Telekom Center Court · 5th on
TURWC
Deniz Dilek
#786WTA
$7kYTD
$12kCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10
LLWWWLWWWW
Sierra S.
vs
Dilek D.

Solana Sierra faces Deniz Dilek in the Ankara Open - Ankara round of 32 on hard. Solana Sierra is the paper favourite — ranked #91 — but Deniz Dilek arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 7 on hard to Solana Sierra's 1.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Sierra S.70%
Dilek D.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sierra S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Solana Sierra 1 of 7, Deniz Dilek 4 of 7 on hard recently — Deniz Dilek the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Solana Sierra carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sierra S.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Dilek D.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.41 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.59 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
2.0Opponent hot: 9 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

40 vs 13 matches

Statistics

This season
Sierra S.Dilek D.
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
50%
Break points saved·Even
58%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.3
4.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
6.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Sierra S.serving41% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Dilek D.

Dilek D.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sierra S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Sierra S.Dilek D.
Freshness·
87
—

Sierra S.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

5th on Turk Telekom Center Court · Not before 7:00 PM · 3 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Falkowska W. v Yoruk I.
    6-26-0
  2. 2Kubka M. v Cengiz B.Live
    2-62-1
  3. 3Naz Altinel A. v Shi H.
  4. 4Kuzmova K. v Buyukakcay C.
  5. 5Sierra S. v Dilek D.This match

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 49%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw