Katarina Kuzmova vs Cagla Buyukakcay — Ankara Open - Ankara Round of 32

Ankara Open - Ankara · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Katarina Kuzmova
SVK
Katarina Kuzmova
#291WTA
1349ELO
1347Hard ELO
$34kYTD
$161kCAREER
25 yrs
Last 10
LWWWLWLLWW
—
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
Turk Telekom Center Court · 4th on
Cagla Buyukakcay
TURWC
Cagla Buyukakcay
#447WTA
1322ELO
1319Hard ELO
$13kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
36 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWLLWW
Kuzmova K.
vs
Buyukakcay C.

Katarina Kuzmova faces Cagla Buyukakcay in the Ankara Open - Ankara round of 32 on hard. Katarina Kuzmova holds the paper edge — ranked #291, a roughly 30-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Kuzmova K.84%
Buyukakcay C.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Kuzmova K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Katarina Kuzmova has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 57 vs 0).
  • Fatigue load: Katarina Kuzmova carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Katarina Kuzmova 3 of 4, Cagla Buyukakcay 2 of 4 on hard recently — Katarina Kuzmova the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kuzmova K.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Buyukakcay C.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+28 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1319
5.3Overall Elo 1349
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1322
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.26 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
1.92 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

45 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
Kuzmova K.Buyukakcay C.
1st serve in·Clear edge
59%
71%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
68%
54%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
52%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
51%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.1
0.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.7
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (45 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kuzmova K.serving51% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Buyukakcay C.

Buyukakcay C.serving46% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Kuzmova K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Kuzmova K.Buyukakcay C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
0
Break points saved·Dominant
50
8
Break points won·Clear edge
69
54
Deciding sets·Dominant
90
7
Tiebreaks·
—
6

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Kuzmova K.Buyukakcay C.
Freshness·
—
96

Buyukakcay C.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

4th on Turk Telekom Center Court · Not before 5:00 PM · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Falkowska W. v Yoruk I.
    6-26-0
  2. 2Kubka M. v Cengiz B.
    2-64-6
  3. 3Naz Altinel A. v Shi H.Live
    1-61-1
  4. 4Kuzmova K. v Buyukakcay C.This match
  5. 5Sierra S. v Dilek D.

Conditions

Weather forecast
24°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 43%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw