Carlos Maria Zarate vs Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo — Buenos Aires Round of 32
Maria Zarate C.
Carlos Maria Zarate faces Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo in the Buenos Aires round of 32 on clay. Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 100-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Aguilar Cardozo J. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo edged Federico Aguilar Cardozo in two tight sets (6–4 7–5).
- Head-to-head: Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M15 Mar Del Plata 2026.
- Surface form: Carlos Maria Zarate 4 of 5, Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo 5 of 5 on clay recently — Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadAguilar Cardozo J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | M15 Mar Del Plata | F | clay | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 6-2 6-2 |