Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Carlos Maria Zarate β€” M15 Mar Del Plata Final

M15 Mar Del Plata Β· ITF Β· Final
#384ATP
1281ELO
1285Clay ELO
$15kYTD
$58kCAREER
21 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 β€” 0
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 Β·
clay
#344ATP
1200ELO
1187Clay ELO
$24kYTD
$47kCAREER
21 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWWWWWWWL
Aguilar Cardozo J.
6-2 6-2
Maria Zarate C.
Aguilar Cardozo J.
662
Maria Zarate C.
220

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo won the M15 Mar Del Plata final, defeating Carlos Maria Zarate 6-2, 6-2. Aguilar Cardozo did not hit an ace and committed two double faults, while Zarate hit two aces and three double faults. Aguilar Cardozo converted 45% of break points and did not concede a service break, while Zarate converted 25% of break points and lost one service break.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Slight edge
63%
54%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
65%
69%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
52%
48%
Service points wonΒ·Even
60%
59%
Return points wonΒ·Slight edge
48%
42%
Break points savedΒ·Even
59%
62%
Aces / matchΒ·Clear edge
0.9
2.7
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
2.1
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 13:50 UTC
Aguilar Cardozo J.65%
Maria Zarate C.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge Β· Aguilar Cardozo J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.2+98 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Clay Elo 1187
6.0Overall Elo 1281
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1200
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
19Β°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw