Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Naiktha BainsEupago Porto Open - Porto Round of 32

Eupago Porto Open - Porto · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#169WTA
1599ELO
1579Hard ELO
$353kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
21 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWLLLL
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 2 · 4th on
#376WTA
1354ELO
1349Hard ELO
$14kYTD
$529kCAREER
28 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLWLWLW
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
vs
Bains N.

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva faces Naiktha Bains in the Eupago Porto Open - Porto round of 32 on hard. Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva is the paper favourite — ranked #169, a roughly 230-point hard Elo advantage — but Naiktha Bains arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 6 on hard to Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Jimenez Kasintseva V.53%
Bains N.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.9+230 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Hard Elo 1349
8.1Overall Elo 1599
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1354
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.93 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.56 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

33 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Jimenez Kasintseva V.serving41% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Bains N.

Bains N.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Jimenez Kasintseva V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
52
0
Break points saved·Dominant
82
15
Break points won·Clear edge
88
70
Deciding sets·Clear edge
26
13
Tiebreaks·
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
85
81

Jimenez Kasintseva V.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Bains N.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

4th on Court 2 · Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Yamalapalli S. v Swan K.
    1-60-6
  2. 2Timofeeva M. v Johnson S.
    6-46-2
  3. 3Tan H. v Young Suh Lee C.Live
    4-1
  4. 4Jimenez Kasintseva V. v Bains N.This match

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw