Maria Timofeeva vs S. JohnsonEupago Porto Open - Porto Round of 32

Eupago Porto Open - Porto · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#87WTA
1696ELO
1608Hard ELO
$377kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
22 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 2 · 2nd on
#459WTA
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Timofeeva M.
6-4 6-2
Johnson S.
Timofeeva M.
662
Johnson S.
420

Maria Timofeeva defeated S. Johnson in the Round of 32 at the Eupago Porto Open in Porto, winning 6-4, 6-2 on hard courts. Timofeeva and Johnson were even in aces with zero each, but Timofeeva had fewer double faults with two to Johnson's three. Timofeeva converted 50% of her break points and won two service breaks to Johnson's one.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Timofeeva M.7/9
Johnson S.4/10

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
40%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Even
49%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
45%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Timofeeva M.77%
Johnson S.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Timofeeva M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.15 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.13 of last 7 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
75

Timofeeva M.: 19 days rest · Johnson S.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw