Ryan Seggerman vs Alex RybakovTiburon Qualifying Round of 16

Tiburon · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 16
#683ATP
$15kYTD
$458kCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWLWWWL
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
hard
KENNEDY-GROSSMAN COURT · 2nd on
#478ATP
1352ELO
1310Hard ELO
$23kYTD
$255kCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWWLLW
Seggerman R.
vs
Rybakov A.

Ryan Seggerman faces Alex Rybakov in the Tiburon qualifying round of 16 on hard. Alex Rybakov holds the paper edge — ranked #478.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Seggerman R.52%
Rybakov A.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.24 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
5.7Won 62% in USA (29)
Country comfort
6.2Won 70% in USA (98)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

9 vs 16 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.2
3.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Seggerman R.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rybakov A.

Rybakov A.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Seggerman R.

Serve advantage — Seggerman R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
33
15
Break points saved·Clear edge
70
84
Break points won·Slight edge
0
5
Deciding sets·Dominant
74
18
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
26
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
88

Seggerman R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Rybakov A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

2nd on KENNEDY-GROSSMAN COURT · Not Before 11:00 · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Vandecasteele Q. v Nakashima B.
  2. 2Seggerman R. v Rybakov A.This match
  3. 3Wolf J. v Emanuel Ambrogi L.
  4. 4Sell K. v Mmoh M.

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 52%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw