Jazmin Ortenzi vs Chloe Paquet — Sao Paulo Round of 32
FRAQ
Ortenzi J.
Jazmin Ortenzi faces Chloe Paquet in the Sao Paulo round of 32 on hard. Jazmin Ortenzi holds the paper edge — ranked #160, defending last year's round of 32.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Ortenzi J. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Jazmin Ortenzi comes in with 5 days of rest and 17 games in 14d, vs Chloe Paquet's 1 and 46.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Jazmin Ortenzi has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 46 vs 0).
- Stage: Jazmin Ortenzi defends last year's round of 32.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadOrtenzi J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Paquet C.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
2nd on Quadra 2 · Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1You X. v Charaeva A.
- 2Ortenzi J. v Paquet C.This match
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.