Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend — Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Round of 32
USAWC
Maria T.
Tatjana Maria faces Taylor Townsend in the Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara round of 32 on hard. Taylor Townsend holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 190-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Townsend T. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Taylor Townsend has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 51 vs 2).
- Freshness: Tatjana Maria comes in with 11 days of rest and 55 games in 14d, vs Taylor Townsend's 8 and 80.
- Head-to-head: Taylor Townsend leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Washington 2025.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMaria T.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Townsend T.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
2nd on Cancha Mexcovery.com · Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Kalieva E. v Day K.
- 2Maria T. v Townsend T.This match
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-21 | Washington | R32 | hard | Taylor Townsend | 6-4 7-5 |