Elvina Kalieva vs Kayla Day — Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Round of 32
USA
Kalieva E.Elvina Kalieva faces Kayla Day in the Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara round of 32 on hard. Elvina Kalieva holds the paper edge — ranked #113, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Day K. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Elvina Kalieva 0 games in 14 days, Kayla Day 40.
- Under pressure: Kayla Day has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 39 vs Elvina Kalieva's 18).
- Head-to-head: Elvina Kalieva leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at W100 Palm Harbor 1 2022.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadKalieva E.: 15 days rest · Day K.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
1st on Cancha Mexcovery.com · Starting at 12:00 PM · up next on court
- 1Kalieva E. v Day K.This match
- 2Maria T. v Townsend T.
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-12 | W100 Palm Harbor 1 | Q16 | clay | Elvina Kalieva | 7-6(2) 6-2 |