Izan Almazan Valiente vs Gianmarco Ferrari — Biella Qualifying Round of 8
Biella · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 8
—
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
clay
Almazan Valiente I.vs
Ferrari G.
Izan Almazan Valiente faces Gianmarco Ferrari in the Biella qualifying round of 8 on clay. Izan Almazan Valiente holds the paper edge — ranked #491.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTCAlmazan Valiente I.36%
Ferrari G.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Ferrari G. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Izan Almazan Valiente dropped just 4 games past Matteo Covato.
- Last match: Gianmarco Ferrari dropped just 2 games past Cesare Carpano.
- Fatigue load: Izan Almazan Valiente carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
6 vs 6 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
56%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Clear edge
42%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
1.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Almazan Valiente I.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Even
82
82
Almazan Valiente I.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Ferrari G.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 63%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.