Francesca Curmi vs Veronika ErjavecBBVA Open Internacional - Valencia Round of 32

BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#229WTA
1580ELO
1567Clay ELO
$34kYTD
$127kCAREER
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWLWWLW
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
clay
Court 5 · 4th on
#147WTA
1629ELO
1610Clay ELO
$579kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWWWLL
Curmi F.
vs
Erjavec V.

Francesca Curmi faces Veronika Erjavec in the BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia round of 32 on clay. Veronika Erjavec holds the paper edge — ranked #147, a roughly 40-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Curmi F.46%
Erjavec V.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Workload contrast: Francesca Curmi 22 games in 14 days, Veronika Erjavec 0.
  • Surface form: Both 3 of 5 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1567
Surface ELO
5.5+43 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1580
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1628
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.27 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

36 vs 35 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
78%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.3
0.9
Double faults / match·Even
1.4
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Curmi F.serving41% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Erjavec V.

Erjavec V.serving34% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Curmi F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
100

Curmi F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Erjavec V.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

4th on Court 5 · Not before 6:00 PM · 2 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Schunk N. v Jakupovic D.
    7-637-5
  2. 2Steur J. v Spiteri D.Live
    6-12-2
  3. 3Brancaccio N. v Papamichail D.
  4. 4Curmi F. v Erjavec V.This match

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw