Nuria Brancaccio vs Despina PapamichailBBVA Open Internacional - Valencia Round of 32

BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#185WTA
1494ELO
1486Clay ELO
$144kYTD
$621kCAREER
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWWLWW
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
clay
Court 5 · 3rd on
#194WTA
1475ELO
1447Clay ELO
$136kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLLLWLL
Brancaccio N.
vs
Papamichail D.

Nuria Brancaccio faces Despina Papamichail in the BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia round of 32 on clay. Nuria Brancaccio holds the paper edge — ranked #185, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 40-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Brancaccio N.57%
Papamichail D.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
3 common opponents · Brancaccio N. 2–2 · Papamichail D. 3–1 · small sample
Both lost · same surface
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+39 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Clay Elo 1447
5.2Overall Elo 1494
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1475
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
5.76 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

37 vs 29 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
74%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
54%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
45%
Service points won·Even
54%
52%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Even
52%
49%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
0.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Brancaccio N.serving39% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Papamichail D.

Papamichail D.serving34% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Brancaccio N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
12
34
Break points saved·Clear edge
30
16
Break points won·Even
95
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
16
59
Tiebreaks·Dominant
12
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
83
80

Brancaccio N.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d) · Papamichail D.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

3rd on Court 5 · Not before 4:30 PM · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Schunk N. v Jakupovic D.
    7-637-5
  2. 2Steur J. v Spiteri D.Live
    6-16-5
  3. 3Brancaccio N. v Papamichail D.This match
  4. 4Curmi F. v Erjavec V.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-04-03BogotaR32clayNuria Brancaccio6-2 6-2

Draw