Gianluca Cadenasso vs Francesco Forti — Biella Round of 32

Biella · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
ITA1
Gianluca Cadenasso
#194ATP
1545ELO
1509Clay ELO
$139kYTD
$237kCAREER
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWLWWWL
—
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
clay
Francesco Forti
ITA
Francesco Forti
#367ATP
1399ELO
1372Clay ELO
$30kYTD
$226kCAREER
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWLLWL
Cadenasso G.
vs
Forti F.

Gianluca Cadenasso faces Francesco Forti in the Biella round of 32 on clay. Gianluca Cadenasso holds the paper edge — ranked #194, a roughly 140-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Cadenasso G.54%
Forti F.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cadenasso G.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Forti F.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+137 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Clay Elo 1372
6.8Overall Elo 1545
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1399
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.25 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

22 vs 13 matches

Statistics

This season
Cadenasso G.Forti F.
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
36%
Break points saved·Clear edge
50%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.5
7.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Cadenasso G.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Forti F.

Forti F.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Cadenasso G.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Cadenasso G.Forti F.
Freshness·
—
78

Forti F.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 63%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw