Alejandro Moro Canas vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux — Biella Round of 32

Biella · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
ESP5
Alejandro Moro Canas
#238ATP
1526ELO
1484Clay ELO
$156kYTD
$707kCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWLLWL
—
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
clay
Geoffrey Blancaneaux
FRA
Geoffrey Blancaneaux
#361ATP
1387ELO
1376Clay ELO
$40kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWLWW
Moro Canas A.
vs
Blancaneaux G.

Alejandro Moro Canas faces Geoffrey Blancaneaux in the Biella round of 32 on clay. Alejandro Moro Canas holds the paper edge — ranked #238, a roughly 110-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Moro Canas A.58%
Blancaneaux G.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Moro Canas A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Moro Canas A.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Blancaneaux G.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+108 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Clay Elo 1376
6.7Overall Elo 1526
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1387
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.15 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.23 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

34 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
Moro Canas A.Blancaneaux G.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
70%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.7
5.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Moro Canas A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Blancaneaux G.

Blancaneaux G.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Moro Canas A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Moro Canas A.Blancaneaux G.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
24
15
Break points saved·Clear edge
82
62
Break points won·Clear edge
35
14
Deciding sets·Even
20
18
Tiebreaks·Dominant
7
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Moro Canas A.Blancaneaux G.
Freshness·
73
—

Moro Canas A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 63%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw