Ozan Baris vs Evan Zhu — Tiburon Qualifying Round of 16
Tiburon · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 16
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Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
hard
BAKER MCKENZIE COURT · 1st on
Baris O.vs
Zhu E.
Ozan Baris faces Evan Zhu in the Tiburon qualifying round of 16 on hard. Ozan Baris holds the paper edge — ranked #427, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTCBaris O.52%
Zhu E.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Evan Zhu dropped just 5 games past Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski.
- Head-to-head: Ozan Baris leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at M15 Naples 3 2022.
- Fatigue load: Ozan Baris carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H5.0First meeting on hard
6.26 of last 10 on hard
Surface form7.17 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count5.7Won 62% in USA (82)
Country comfort5.3Won 54% in USA (92)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
10 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
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57%
1st serve points won·
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68%
2nd serve points won·
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55%
Service points won·
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63%
Return points won·
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37%
Break points saved·
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57%
Aces / match·
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3.6
Double faults / match·
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3.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
When it starts
1st on BAKER MCKENZIE COURT · Starts At 10:00 · up next on court
- 1Baris O. v Zhu E.This match
- 2Johnson S. v Arutiunian E.
- 3Shelbayh A. v Zink T.
- 4Boyer T. v Winter E.
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 66%
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-02-23 | M15 Naples 3 | R32 | clay | Ozan Baris | 6-4 6-4 |