Abedallah Shelbayh vs Tyler ZinkTiburon Round of 32

Tiburon · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#251ATP
1442ELO
1448Hard ELO
$47kYTD
$728kCAREER
22 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWWLLLWWWW
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
hard
#330ATP
1371ELO
1351Hard ELO
$38kYTD
$202kCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLWLWWW
Shelbayh A.
vs
Zink T.

Abedallah Shelbayh faces Tyler Zink in the Tiburon round of 32 on hard. Abedallah Shelbayh holds the paper edge — ranked #251, a roughly 100-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Shelbayh A.62%
Zink T.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Shelbayh A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+97 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1351
5.9Overall Elo 1442
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1371
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
5.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.15 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.6Won 61% in USA (119)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

29 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.2
5.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Shelbayh A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Zink T.

Zink T.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Shelbayh A.

Serve advantage — Zink T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Shelbayh A.: 20 days rest · Zink T.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
19°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw