Spencer Johnson vs Erik Arutiunian — Tiburon Qualifying Round of 16
Johnson S.
Spencer Johnson faces Erik Arutiunian in the Tiburon qualifying round of 16 on hard. Spencer Johnson holds the paper edge — ranked #451. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Erik Arutiunian dropped just 4 games past Nicholas Godsick.
- Fatigue load: Spencer Johnson carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Spencer Johnson 6 of 10, Erik Arutiunian 7 of 10 on hard recently — Erik Arutiunian the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadJohnson S.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Arutiunian E.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
2nd on BAKER MCKENZIE COURT · Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Baris O. v Zhu E.
- 2Johnson S. v Arutiunian E.This match
- 3Shelbayh A. v Zink T.
- 4Boyer T. v Winter E.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.