Quinn Vandecasteele vs Noah Zamora — Tiburon Qualifying Round of 32

Tiburon · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
USA
Quinn Vandecasteele
#438ATP
1383ELO
1368Hard ELO
$28kYTD
$95kCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWWLLW
—
Sets
Sunday, 13 September 2026 ·
hard
BAKER MCKENZIE COURT · 2nd on
USAALT
Noah Zamora
#772ATP
$8kYTD
$21kCAREER
23 yrs
Last 10
LWLWLLWWWW
Vandecasteele Q.
vs
Zamora N.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Vandecasteele Q.59%
Zamora N.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Vandecasteele Q. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Vandecasteele Q.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Zamora N.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.82 of last 5 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.5Won 59% in USA (99)
Country comfort
5.4Won 57% in USA (72)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

22 vs 3 matches

Statistics

This season
Vandecasteele Q.Zamora N.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
49%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
55%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.4
3.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Vandecasteele Q.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Zamora N.

Zamora N.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Vandecasteele Q.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Vandecasteele Q.Zamora N.
Freshness·
100
—

Vandecasteele Q.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

2nd on BAKER MCKENZIE COURT · Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Godsick N. v Arutiunian E.
  2. 2Vandecasteele Q. v Zamora N.This match
  3. 3Legout T. v Bynoe E.
  4. 4Martin D. v Rybakov A.

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 40%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw