Hayu Kinoshita vs Cadence Brace — Sao Paulo Qualifying Round of 8
Kinoshita H.
Hayu Kinoshita faces Cadence Brace in the Sao Paulo qualifying round of 8 on hard. Hayu Kinoshita is the paper favourite — ranked #224, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage — but Cadence Brace arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 8 on hard to Hayu Kinoshita's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Kinoshita H. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Hayu Kinoshita 25 games in 14 days, Cadence Brace 47.
- Surface form: Hayu Kinoshita 3 of 8, Cadence Brace 6 of 8 on hard recently — Cadence Brace the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (45 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadKinoshita H.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Brace C.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
2nd on Quadra 1 · Not before 1:30 PM · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1You X. v Bosio V.
- 2Kinoshita H. v Brace C.This match
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.