Xiaodi You vs Victoria Bosio | Sao Paulo Qualifying Round of 8

Sao Paulo · WTA · Qualifying Round of 8

CHN

Xiaodi You

#206WTA

1461ELO

1484Hard ELO

$111kYTD

$715kCAREER

30 yrs

Last 10

WLLLLLLLLW

—

Sets

Sunday, 13 September 2026 · 12:00

hard

Quadra 1 · 1st on

ARG

Victoria Bosio

#323WTA

1239ELO

1200Hard ELO

$24kYTD

$158kCAREER

31 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWWWWLWWW

You X.

Bosio V.

Xiaodi You faces Victoria Bosio in the Sao Paulo qualifying round of 8 on hard. Xiaodi You holds the paper edge — ranked #206, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 280-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC

You X.54%

Bosio V.46%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Victoria Bosio rising, Xiaodi You cooling.
Last match: Xiaodi You dropped just 3 games past Luiza Fullana.
Fatigue load: Victoria Bosio carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

1 common opponents · You X. 1–0 · Bosio V. 1–0 · small sample

Both won · hard to compare — different surfaces (Hard × Clay) · 11 months apart▾

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

You X.

5.6

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Bosio V.

4.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

8.6+284 Hard Elo edge

Surface ELO

1.4Hard Elo 1200

7.8Overall Elo 1461

ELO gap

2.2Overall Elo 1239

5.0First meeting on hard

H2H

5.0First meeting on hard

6.37 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

5.96 of last 10 on hard

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

34 vs 38 matches

Statistics

This season

You X.Bosio V.

1st serve in·Slight edge

60%

68%

1st serve points won·Even

61%

59%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

44%

49%

Service points won·Even

54%

56%

Return points won·Even

48%

46%

Break points saved·Even

52%

55%

Aces / match·Slight edge

2.1

1.5

Double faults / match·Dominant

4.4

2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

You X.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Bosio V.

Bosio V.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs You X.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

You X.Bosio V.

Freshness·Slight edge

You X.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d) · Bosio V.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

1st on Quadra 1 · Starting at 12:00 PM · up next on court

1You X. v Bosio V.This match
2Kinoshita H. v Brace C.13:30

Conditions

Court speed

Mediumbalanced pace

SlowFast

Weather forecast

16°CDrizzle

Wind 10 km/hHumidity 86%

Head to head

1–0

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2020-03-05	W25 Las Vegas	R32	hard	Xiaodi You	6-1 6-1

Xiaodi You vs Victoria Bosio — Sao Paulo Qualifying Round of 8