Pavel Kotov vs Marat Sharipov β€” Shanghai Semi-final

Shanghai Β· CHALLENGER Β· Semi-final
#250ATP
1597ELO
1601Hard ELO
$59kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs Β· 191 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWLLWLLLW
0 β€” 2
Sets
Saturday, 12 September 2026 Β·
hard
#442ATP
1425ELO
1416Hard ELO
$24kYTD
$160kCAREER
23 yrs Β· 188 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWLWWWLLL
Kotov P.
3-6 5-7
Sharipov M.
Kotov P.
350
Sharipov M.
672

Marat Sharipov defeated Pavel Kotov in the semifinals of the Shanghai tournament, winning 6-3, 7-5 on hard courts. Sharipov and Kotov were even in aces, 2-2, and neither player converted a service break. Sharipov converted 25 percent of his break points, while Kotov did not convert any.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Kotov P.6/8
Sharipov M.11/13

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

  • Match story: Marat Sharipov closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
78%
78%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
54%
51%
Service points wonΒ·Even
69%
67%
Return points wonΒ·Even
37%
39%
Break points savedΒ·Even
65%
65%
Aces / matchΒ·Dominant
6.6
9.8
Double faults / matchΒ·Clear edge
1.7
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 09:50 UTC
Kotov P.63%
Sharipov M.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge Β· Kotov P. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model Β· 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.3+185 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1416
7.1Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1425
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.08 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.67 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Slight edge
61
66

Kotov P.: 1 day rest Β· 3 matches, 80 games (7d) Β· Sharipov M.: 1 day rest Β· 3 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26Β°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw