Max Alcala Gurri vs Dusan Lajovic — Seville Semi-final

Seville · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
Max Alcala Gurri
ESP
Max Alcala Gurri
#177ATP
1581ELO
1564Clay ELO
$61kYTD
$174kCAREER
24 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWLLLWW
—
Sets
Saturday, 12 September 2026 ·
clay
Dusan Lajovic
SRB
Dusan Lajovic
#167ATP
1620ELO
1588Clay ELO
$348kYTD
$11MCAREER
36 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWLWWL
Alcala Gurri M.
vs
Lajovic D.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Alcala Gurri M.51%
Lajovic D.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Alcala Gurri M.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Lajovic D.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.7Clay Elo 1564
Surface ELO
5.3+24 Clay Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1580
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1620
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.27 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.85 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

3 vs 30 matches

Statistics

This season
Alcala Gurri M.Lajovic D.
1st serve in·Even
71%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.0
4.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Alcala Gurri M.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Lajovic D.

Lajovic D.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Alcala Gurri M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Alcala Gurri M.Lajovic D.
Freshness·Clear edge
53
73

Alcala Gurri M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 81 games (7d) · Lajovic D.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
34°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 13%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw