Titouan Droguet vs Nicolai Budkov KjaerCassis Semi-final

Cassis · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#103ATP
1717ELO
1650Hard ELO
$520kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 12 September 2026 ·
hard
Central · 2nd on
#149ATP
1620ELO
1598Hard ELO
$407kYTD
$861kCAREER
20 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLWLWLW
Droguet T.
6-7 6-2 6-4
Budkov Kjaer N.
Droguet T.
64662
Budkov Kjaer N.
77241

Titouan Droguet advanced to the final of the Cassis semifinals, defeating Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 6-7, 6-2, 6-4. Droguet hit 12 aces and committed one double fault, while converting 71 percent of his break points and securing five service breaks. In contrast, Kjaer had two aces, two double faults, a 50 percent break point conversion rate, and two service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Droguet T.10/14
Budkov Kjaer N.8/16

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebrokenresult unknown

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.7
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
64
67
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
78
Break points won·Clear edge
17
39
Deciding sets·Even
93
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Droguet T.55%
Budkov Kjaer N.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.7+52 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1598
6.2Overall Elo 1717
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1620
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
66
60

Droguet T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 68 games (7d) · Budkov Kjaer N.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw