Hugo Gaston vs Titouan Droguet — Estoril Round of 16
FRA
Gaston H.Hugo Gaston faces Titouan Droguet in the Estoril round of 16 on clay. Hugo Gaston holds the paper edge — ranked #109, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Droguet T. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Hugo Gaston comes in with 7 days of rest and 148 games in 14d, vs Titouan Droguet's 1 and 190.
- Last match: Hugo Gaston advanced when Damir Dzumhur retired.
- Last match: Titouan Droguet handed Camilo Ugo Carabelli a first-set bagel in a 6–0 3–6 6–4 win.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadGaston H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Droguet T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 90 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
2–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-04 | Metz | R32 | hard | Hugo Gaston | 7-6 4-6 6-3 |
| 2024-02-05 | Marseille | Q1 | hard | Hugo Gaston | 7-5 6-4 |