Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Matej Dodig — Genoa Semi-final
CRO
Seyboth Wild T.
Thiago Seyboth Wild faces Matej Dodig in the Genoa semi-final on clay. Thiago Seyboth Wild is the paper favourite — ranked #198, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage — but Matej Dodig arrives in form, winning all 8 of their last clay matches to Thiago Seyboth Wild's 6.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Thiago Seyboth Wild 128 games in 14 days, Matej Dodig 177.
- Last match: Matej Dodig dropped the opening set before beating Enrico Dalla Valle 6–7 6–2 7–6.
- Win streak: Both arrive in form — Thiago Seyboth Wild on a 3-match run, Matej Dodig on 8.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSeyboth Wild T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d) · Dodig M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 92 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.