Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Pedro Martinez — Genoa Final
ESP7
Seyboth Wild T.
Thiago Seyboth Wild faces Pedro Martinez in the Genoa final on clay. Pedro Martinez is the paper favourite — ranked #148, a roughly 30-point clay Elo advantage — but Thiago Seyboth Wild has won their only previous meeting. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Thiago Seyboth Wild 158 games in 14 days, Pedro Martinez 126.
- Under pressure: Pedro Martinez has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 47 vs Thiago Seyboth Wild's 14).
- Last match: Pedro Martinez dropped the opening set before beating Laslo Djere 2–6 6–4 7–5.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSeyboth Wild T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 90 games (7d) · Martinez P.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 85 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-20 | Lyon | R32 | clay | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 6-4 6-1 |