Claire Liu vs Anna BlinkovaKia Open - Barranquilla Final

Kia Open - Barranquilla · CHALLENGER · Final
#111WTA
1669ELO
1635Hard ELO
$477kYTD
$2.8MCAREER
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLLWLWW
Sets
Saturday, 12 September 2026 ·
hard
#95WTA
1694ELO
1654Hard ELO
$609kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLLLWWW
Liu C.
vs
Blinkova A.

Claire Liu faces Anna Blinkova in the Kia Open - Barranquilla final on hard. Anna Blinkova is the paper favourite — ranked #95, a roughly 20-point hard Elo advantage — but Claire Liu arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 7 on hard to Anna Blinkova's 4.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Liu C.64%
Blinkova A.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Liu C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
4 common opponents · Liu C. 1–3 · Blinkova A. 3–2 · small sample
Both lost · same surface, 0 days apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1635
Surface ELO
5.2+19 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1669
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1694
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.18 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

45 vs 37 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
53%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (45 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Liu C.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Blinkova A.

Blinkova A.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Liu C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
24
36
Break points saved·Clear edge
23
11
Break points won·Slight edge
76
87
Deciding sets·Slight edge
24
30
Tiebreaks·Dominant
40
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
67
64

Liu C.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 73 games (7d) · Blinkova A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 68 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
30°CClear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 78%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw