Matilde Jorge vs Katie Swan β€” W50 Evora Quarter-final

W50 Evora Β· ITF Β· Quarter-final
#300WTA
1449ELO
1442Hard ELO
$76kYTD
$224kCAREER
22 yrs Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWLWLWWWL
1 β€” 0
Sets
Retired
Friday, 11 September 2026 Β·
hard
#207WTA
1554ELO
1477Hard ELO
$221kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
27 yrs Β· 170 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWLWLWLWWL
Jorge M.
4-0
Swan K.
Jorge M.
41
Swan K.
00

Katie Swan advanced to the semifinals of the W50 Evora tournament, defeating Matilde Jorge in the quarterfinals. The match ended with Jorge's retirement, trailing 0-4. No player recorded an ace, double fault, service break, or converted a break point during the match.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
60%
68%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
46%
46%
Service points wonΒ·Slight edge
55%
61%
Return points wonΒ·Even
45%
45%
Break points savedΒ·Even
57%
60%
Aces / matchΒ·Slight edge
1.6
2.8
Double faults / matchΒ·Clear edge
4.9
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 08:50 UTC
Jorge M.20%
Swan K.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite Β· Swan K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1442
Surface ELO
5.4+35 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1448
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1554
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.14 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·
β€”
100

Swan K.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
28Β°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 25%

Draw