Katie Swan vs Mary Stoiana — US Open Qualifying Round of 64
Swan K.
Mary Stoiana defeated Katie Swan in the US Open qualifying 64 round. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 6-3, 6-3 in favor of Stoiana. Stoiana and Swan had equal aces with 5 each, while Stoiana had 5 double faults to Swan's 7; Stoiana won 67% of first-serve points to Swan's 62%, converted 46% of break points to Swan's 50%, and made 6 service breaks to Swan's 3.
Key context
- Match story: Mary Stoiana dropped the opening set before beating Katie Swan 6–7 6–3 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 48). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadSwan K.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Stoiana M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 79 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About