Greet Minnen vs Matilde Jorge — W50 Evora Round of 16

W50 Evora · ITF · Round of 16
Greet Minnen
BEL3
Greet Minnen
#176WTA
1723ELO
1667Hard ELO
$197kYTD
$3.5MCAREER
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Retired
Thursday, 10 September 2026 ·
hard
POR
Matilde Jorge
#300WTA
1449ELO
1442Hard ELO
$76kYTD
$224kCAREER
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWWWL
Minnen G.
6-2 4-6 2-3
Jorge M.
Minnen G.
6421
Jorge M.
2632

Matilde Jorge advanced to the quarterfinals of the W50 Evora tournament, defeating Greet Minnen in the Round of 16. Minnen retired during the match, trailing 2-6, 6-4, 3-2. Jorge secured the win as a result of Minnen's withdrawal.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-24W100 Oeiras 1R16clayGreet Minnen6-4 6-1

Statistics

This season
Minnen G.Jorge M.
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Minnen G.86%
Jorge M.14%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Minnen G. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Minnen G.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Jorge M.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+224 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1442
8.4Overall Elo 1722
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1448
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Minnen G.Jorge M.
Freshness·
100
—

Minnen G.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 36%

Draw