Francisca Jorge vs Katarina KuzmovaW50 Evora Round of 16

W50 Evora · ITF · Round of 16
#232WTA
1525ELO
1510Hard ELO
$138kYTD
$482kCAREER
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 10 September 2026 ·
hard
#276WTA
1349ELO
1347Hard ELO
$34kYTD
$161kCAREER
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWLLLW
Jorge F.
4-6 6-3 6-3
Kuzmova K.
Jorge F.
4662
Kuzmova K.
6331

Francisca Jorge defeated Katarina Kuzmova in the Round of 16 at the W50 Evora tournament, prevailing 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 on hard courts. Jorge converted 55% of her break points and secured 6 service breaks, edging Kuzmova's 4. Jorge served 2 aces to Kuzmova's 1 and both players committed 6 double faults.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-09-02W50 LeiriaR32hardFrancisca Jorge5-7 6-1 6-7(6)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
55%
59%
Return points won·Even
46%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.0
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 45). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
50
57
Break points saved·Slight edge
42
50
Break points won·Even
69
69
Deciding sets·Slight edge
85
90
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Jorge F.50%
Kuzmova K.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0+163 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1347
7.2Overall Elo 1525
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1349
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
5.96 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Jorge F.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 32%

Draw