Francisca Jorge vs Anastasia GasanovaW50 Evora Quarter-final

W50 Evora · ITF · Quarter-final
#232WTA
1525ELO
1510Hard ELO
$138kYTD
$482kCAREER
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 11 September 2026 ·
hard
#192WTA
1491ELO
1485Hard ELO
$273kYTD
$757kCAREER
27 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLLWL
Jorge F.
2-6 1-6
Gasanova A.
Jorge F.
210
Gasanova A.
662

Anastasia Gasanova defeated Francisca Jorge in the quarterfinals of the W50 Evora tournament, winning 6-2, 6-1 on hard courts. Gasanova converted 50% of her break points and secured six service breaks, while Jorge had four aces and four double faults. The win advanced Gasanova to the next round.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Jorge F.2/9
Gasanova A.6/7

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
55%
55%
Return points won·Even
46%
48%
Break points saved·Even
49%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
50
36
Break points saved·Clear edge
42
21
Break points won·Dominant
69
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
85
78
Tiebreaks·
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Jorge F.25%
Gasanova A.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Gasanova A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.3+26 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1484
5.4Overall Elo 1525
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1491
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.96 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.06 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Jorge F.: 17 days rest · Gasanova A.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
30°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 21%

Draw