Francesca Jones vs Rositsa DenchevaATIK Antalya Open - Antalya Round of 16

ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#104WTA
1619ELO
1621Clay ELO
$494kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 10 September 2026 ·
clay
#280WTA
1355ELO
1333Clay ELO
$31kYTD
$62kCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWL
Jones F.
6-7 7-5 4-6
Dencheva R.
Jones F.
65741
Dencheva R.
77562

Rositsa Dencheva defeated Francesca Jones 7-6, 5-7, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the ATIK Antalya Open in Antalya. The match saw Dencheva hit 2 aces and 2 double faults, while Jones hit 1 ace and 5 double faults. Both players converted 4 service breaks, with Dencheva succeeding on 57% of her break points and Jones on 36%.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Break points saved·Even
55%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
0.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Jones F.67%
Dencheva R.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Jones F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.6+288 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Clay Elo 1332
8.3Overall Elo 1619
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1355
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.69 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
10.010 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
65
52

Jones F.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Dencheva R.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 116 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
31°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw