Rositsa Dencheva vs Maria Lourdes Carle β€” ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya Quarter-final

ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya Β· CHALLENGER Β· Quarter-final
#280WTA
1355ELO
1333Clay ELO
$31kYTD
$62kCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWWWLWWWL
2 β€” 0
Sets
Friday, 11 September 2026 Β·
clay
#220WTA
1484ELO
1461Clay ELO
$181kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
26 yrs Β· 166 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWLWWLLLWW
Dencheva R.
7-5 6-2
Lourdes Carle M.
Dencheva R.
762
Lourdes Carle M.
520

Rositsa Dencheva defeated Maria Lourdes Carle 7-5, 6-2 in the quarterfinals of the ATIK Antalya Open in Antalya. The match saw Dencheva record zero aces and two double faults, while Carle had one ace and six double faults. Both players converted two service breaks each, at a 29% and 33% conversion rate respectively.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Dencheva R.3/6
Lourdes Carle M.4/14

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Slight edge
73%
65%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
58%
58%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
44%
41%
Service points wonΒ·Even
54%
52%
Return points wonΒ·Even
51%
48%
Break points savedΒ·Even
52%
52%
Aces / matchΒ·Slight edge
0.1
1.0
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
2.0
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 10:50 UTC
Dencheva R.45%
Lourdes Carle M.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up Β· Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.4Clay Elo 1332
Surface ELO
6.6+129 Clay Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1355
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1484
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
10.010 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.08 of last 10 on clay
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Clear edge
52
66

Dencheva R.: 1 day rest Β· 5 matches, 116 games (7d) Β· Lourdes Carle M.: 1 day rest Β· 3 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
31Β°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw