Maria Lourdes Carle vs Eva VedderATIK Antalya Open - Antalya Round of 16

ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#220WTA
1484ELO
1461Clay ELO
$181kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 10 September 2026 ·
clay
#197WTA
1537ELO
1478Clay ELO
$71kYTD
$340kCAREER
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWLWWWW
Lourdes Carle M.
6-1 6-2
Vedder E.
Lourdes Carle M.
662
Vedder E.
120

Maria Lourdes Carle defeated Eva Vedder 6-1, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the ATIK Antalya Open in Antalya. Carle hit 0 aces and 4 double faults, while Vedder had 1 ace and 1 double fault. Carle converted 50% of her break points and won 2 service breaks to advance.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Return points won·Even
48%
46%
Break points saved·Even
52%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
27
44
Break points saved·Dominant
26
73
Break points won·Dominant
97
72
Deciding sets·Clear edge
56
40
Tiebreaks·
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Lourdes Carle M.59%
Vedder E.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Lourdes Carle M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1461
Surface ELO
5.2+17 Clay Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1484
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1537
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.27 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
66
85

Lourdes Carle M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d) · Vedder E.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
31°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw