Marvin Moeller vs Matias SotoTulln Round of 16

Tulln · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#278ATP
1396ELO
1383Clay ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 9 September 2026 ·
clay
Court 2 · 2nd on
#261ATP
1421ELO
1412Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLLWWLW
Moeller M.
4-6 6-3 0-6
Soto M.
Moeller M.
4601
Soto M.
6362

Matias Soto defeated Marvin Moeller in the Round of 16 at Tulln. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 3-6, 6-0 in favor of Soto. Soto served 2 aces and committed 9 double faults, while converting 40% of break points and securing 4 service breaks, compared to Moeller's 1 ace, 3 double faults, 50% break point conversion, and 2 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
4.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
48
34
Break points saved·Slight edge
43
51
Break points won·Dominant
44
14
Deciding sets·Even
73
69
Tiebreaks·Dominant
91
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Moeller M.55%
Soto M.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1383
Surface ELO
5.4+29 Clay Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1396
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1421
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
6.77 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.56 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
84

Moeller M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 7 games (7d) · Soto M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
31°CPartly cloudy
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw