Bernard Tomic vs Akira SantillanShanghai Round of 32

Shanghai · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#179ATP
1475ELO
1441Hard ELO
33 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 5 · 1st on
#331ATP
1367ELO
1343Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Tomic B.
6-4 6-4
Santillan A.
Tomic B.
662
Santillan A.
440

Bernard Tomic defeated Akira Santillan in the Round of 32 at the Shanghai tournament. The match ended with a 6-4, 6-4 victory for Tomic. Tomic had 3 aces and 2 double faults, while Santillan had 6 aces and 0 double faults; Tomic converted 44% of break points and Santillan converted 100%, but Tomic secured 4 service breaks to Santillan's 2.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Bernard Tomic edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
34%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.1
5.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
51
0
Break points saved·Dominant
88
32
Break points won·Slight edge
8
16
Deciding sets·Dominant
78
14
Tiebreaks·Dominant
83
11

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Tomic B.54%
Santillan A.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+99 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1342
6.3Overall Elo 1474
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1367
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
76
76

Tomic B.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Santillan A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CPartly cloudy
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw