Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka — Shanghai Round of 16
Tomic B.
Bernard Tomic faces Ilya Ivashka in the Shanghai round of 16 on hard. Ilya Ivashka holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Bernard Tomic 74 games in 14 days, Ilya Ivashka 99.
- Last match: Ilya Ivashka dropped just 6 games past Yu Hsiou Hsu.
- Head-to-head: Ilya Ivashka leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at Newport 2019.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadTomic B.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Ivashka I.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 68 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
1st on CENTER COURT · Starts At 3:00 PM · up next on court
- 1Tomic B. v Ivashka I.This match
- 2Cui J. v Zhou Y.
- 3Lin Wu T. v Castelnuovo L.
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-07-15 | Newport | R32 | grass | Ilya Ivashka | 6-2 7-6 |