Mika Petkovic vs Andrea Pellegrino — Genoa Round of 32

Genoa · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
GERLL
Mika Petkovic
#432ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 ·
clay
Center Court · 5th on
Andrea Pellegrino
ITA2
Andrea Pellegrino
#129ATP
1674ELO
1654Clay ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLWL
Petkovic M.
6-7 4-6
Pellegrino A.
Petkovic M.
6840
Pellegrino A.
71062

Andrea Pellegrino defeated Mika Petkovic in the Round of 32 of the Genoa tournament on clay, winning 7-6, 6-4. Pellegrino hit 10 aces to Petkovic's 2 and converted all of his break points, compared to Petkovic's 14%. Pellegrino won two service breaks to Petkovic's one.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Petkovic M.Pellegrino A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
3.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Petkovic M.35%
Pellegrino A.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Pellegrino A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Petkovic M.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Pellegrino A.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.23 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Petkovic M.Pellegrino A.
Freshness·Dominant
54
83

Petkovic M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 95 games (7d) · Pellegrino A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw