Gauthier Onclin vs Raphael PerotCassis Round of 32

Cassis · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#158ATP
1567ELO
1552Hard ELO
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 1 · 3rd on
#338ATP
1268ELO
1231Hard ELO
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWW
Onclin G.
4-6 2-6
Perot R.
Onclin G.
420
Perot R.
662

Raphael Perot defeated Gauthier Onclin in the Round of 32 of the Cassis hard-court tournament. Perot won the match 6-4, 6-2. Perot hit 3 aces and 5 double faults, converting 71% of break points and securing 5 service breaks, compared to Onclin's 0 aces, 3 double faults, 40% break point conversion, and 2 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • Onclin lost in the first round at Cassis in his comeback tournament following US Open qualifying elimination.

    Umpiry summary — not a quote

    Onclin G.Starsporttv

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
58%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
56%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Onclin G.70%
Perot R.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Onclin G. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.0+321 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.0Hard Elo 1231
8.7Overall Elo 1567
ELO gap
1.3Overall Elo 1268
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.62 of last 8 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
88
88

Onclin G.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Perot R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw