Raphael Perot vs Robin Bertrand | Cassis Round of 16

Cassis · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

FRA

Raphael Perot

#338ATP

1268ELO

1231Hard ELO

25 yrs

Last 10

WWWWWWLLWW

—

Sets

Thursday, 10 September 2026 · 14:00

hard

FRA

Robin Bertrand

#409ATP

1319ELO

1321Hard ELO

23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWWWWLWWL

Perot R.

Bertrand R.

Raphael Perot faces Robin Bertrand in the Cassis round of 16 on hard. Raphael Perot holds the paper edge — ranked #338, leading the head-to-head 2–0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC

Perot R.48%

Bertrand R.52%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Raphael Perot dropped just 6 games past Gauthier Onclin.
Last match: Robin Bertrand dropped just 6 games past Mathieu Scaglia.
Head-to-head: Raphael Perot leads the head-to-head 2–0, 1–0 on hard. Last met at M25+H Bagneres-de-Bigorre 2026.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Perot R.

5.8

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Bertrand R.

6.0

Even matchUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

3.9Hard Elo 1231

Surface ELO

6.1+90 Hard Elo edge

4.4Overall Elo 1268

ELO gap

5.6Overall Elo 1319

7.0Leads 1–0 on hard

H2H

3.0Trails 0–1 on hard

3.83 of last 9 on hard

Surface form

5.15 of last 10 on hard

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

16 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season

Perot R.Bertrand R.

1st serve in·Even

64%

65%

1st serve points won·Even

65%

62%

2nd serve points won·Even

46%

47%

Service points won·Even

58%

57%

Return points won·Even

40%

43%

Break points saved·Even

56%

57%

Aces / match·Even

1.8

2.1

Double faults / match·Clear edge

2.5

3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Perot R.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Bertrand R.

Bertrand R.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Perot R.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Perot R.Bertrand R.

Freshness·Even

Perot R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Bertrand R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Fastbig serves, short points

SlowFast

Weather forecast

27°CClear

Wind 17 km/hHumidity 32%

Head to head

2–0

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2026-09-06	M25+H Bagneres-de-Bigorre	F	hard	Raphael Perot	6-4 2-6 3-6
2026-06-16	Challenger Men - Singles: Royan (France), Clay	R32	clay	Raphael Perot	7-5

Raphael Perot vs Robin Bertrand — Cassis Round of 16