Margaux Rouvroy vs Matilde JorgeW50 Evora Round of 32

W50 Evora · ITF · Round of 32
#346WTA
1416ELO
1384Hard ELO
$48kYTD
$317kCAREER
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 ·
hard
#300WTA
1449ELO
1442Hard ELO
$76kYTD
$224kCAREER
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWWWL
Rouvroy M.
3-6 4-6
Jorge M.
Rouvroy M.
340
Jorge M.
662

Matilde Jorge defeated Margaux Rouvroy 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the W50 Evora tournament. Jorge won despite being broken three times and committing seven double faults, as she converted 75 percent of her break points and secured six service breaks. Rouvroy hit four aces but was ultimately unable to overcome Jorge's strong break point conversion.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Matilde Jorge closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-12-01W35 Lousada 2FhardMargaux Rouvroy7-5 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
46%
Service points won·Even
55%
55%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Even
58%
57%
Aces / match·Even
1.2
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.0
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Rouvroy M.52%
Jorge M.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1384
Surface ELO
5.7+58 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1416
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1448
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
7.38 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw