Ilya Ivashka vs Yu Hsiou Hsu — Shanghai Round of 32

Shanghai · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Ilya Ivashka
BLR
Ilya Ivashka
#393ATP
1538ELO
1509Hard ELO
32 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 6 · 3rd on
Yu Hsiou Hsu
TPE
Yu Hsiou Hsu
#268ATP
1489ELO
1468Hard ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLL
Ivashka I.
6-3 6-3
Hsiou Hsu Y.
Ivashka I.
662
Hsiou Hsu Y.
330

Ilya Ivashka advanced to the next round of the Shanghai tournament with a victory over Yu Hsiou Hsu in the Round of 32. Ivashka won the match 6-3, 6-3, converting three service breaks and 50% of his break points. Ivashka hit four aces and two double faults, while Hsu hit one ace and no double faults.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Ivashka I.Hsiou Hsu Y.
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Even
57%
59%
Aces / match·Even
3.6
3.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ivashka I.Hsiou Hsu Y.
Clutch Rating·Even
33
36
Break points saved·Clear edge
88
74
Break points won·Dominant
54
4
Deciding sets·Clear edge
31
50
Tiebreaks·Dominant
12
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Ivashka I.60%
Hsiou Hsu Y.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Ivashka I. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ivashka I.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Hsiou Hsu Y.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+41 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1468
5.6Overall Elo 1538
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1488
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.74 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ivashka I.Hsiou Hsu Y.
Freshness·Slight edge
69
80

Ivashka I.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 68 games (7d) · Hsiou Hsu Y.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw