Benjamin O'Connell vs Blake EllisPhan Thiet 3 Round of 32

Phan Thiet 3 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#968ATP
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 ·
hard
Court A · 2nd on
#477ATP
1416ELO
1390Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLWL
O'Connell B.
6-7 3-6
Ellis B.
O'Connell B.
6630
Ellis B.
7862

Blake Ellis defeated Benjamin O'Connell in the Round of 32 at the Phan Thiet 3 tournament, winning in straight sets 7-6, 6-3 on hard courts. The match concluded with Ellis advancing to the next round.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Blake Ellis closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-16M25 BrisbaneR16hardBenjamin O'Connell6-4 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.7
10.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
O'Connell B.31%
Ellis B.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ellis B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
56
86

O'Connell B.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 85 games (7d) · Ellis B.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
30°CDrizzle
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 71%

Draw