Manas Dhamne vs Daniel RinconCassis Round of 32

Cassis · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#381ATP
1399ELO
1393Hard ELO
18 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 2 · 2nd on
#208ATP
1522ELO
1514Hard ELO
23 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLLW
Dhamne M.
3-6 4-6
Rincon D.
Dhamne M.
340
Rincon D.
662

Daniel Rincon defeated Manas Dhamne in the Round of 32 of the Cassis hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-4 in favor of Rincon. Rincon hit 11 aces and did not commit any double faults, while Dhamne had 1 ace and 3 double faults; Rincon converted 43% of break points and won 3 service breaks to Dhamne's 1.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Daniel Rincon closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Dhamne M.45%
Rincon D.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1393
Surface ELO
6.5+121 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1399
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1522
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.35 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
67
75

Dhamne M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d) · Rincon D.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw