Mathieu Scaglia vs Robin BertrandCassis Round of 32

Cassis · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#1041ATP
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 1 · 4th on
#409ATP
1319ELO
1321Hard ELO
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLL
Scaglia M.
2-6 4-6
Bertrand R.
Scaglia M.
240
Bertrand R.
662

Robin Bertrand defeated Mathieu Scaglia in the Round of 32 of the Cassis hard-court tournament, winning 6-2, 6-4. Bertrand converted 80% of his break points and secured four service breaks, while Scaglia converted 100% of his break points but managed only one service break. Bertrand hit one ace and three double faults, compared to Scaglia's two aces and three double faults.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-07-01M15 Monastir 25QFhardMathieu Scaglia4-6 6-1 6-4
2021-06-13M25 Grasse 1Q32clayRobin Bertrand6-1 6-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
65%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
78%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
43%
Break points saved·Clear edge
70%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
2.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Scaglia M.33%
Bertrand R.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bertrand R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
57
88

Scaglia M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 83 games (7d) · Bertrand R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw