Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina Alves — Kia Open - Barranquilla Round of 32

Kia Open - Barranquilla · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
FRA
Leolia Jeanjean
#127WTA
1653ELO
1588Hard ELO
$550kYTD
$2.0MCAREER
31 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 ·
hard
Campo 8 · 1st on
Carolina Alves
BRAQ
Carolina Alves
#314WTA
1280ELO
1275Hard ELO
$26kYTD
$465kCAREER
30 yrs · 170 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWWWL
Jeanjean L.
6-2 7-6
Alves C.
Jeanjean L.
6772
Alves C.
2630

Leolia Jeanjean defeated Carolina Alves in the Round of 32 at the Kia Open - Barranquilla. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 7-6 in favor of Jeanjean.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Jeanjean L.Alves C.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Jeanjean L.Alves C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
11
Break points saved·Dominant
75
9
Break points won·Clear edge
90
72
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
40
Tiebreaks·
67
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Jeanjean L.84%
Alves C.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Jeanjean L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Jeanjean L.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Alves C.
3.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.9+313 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.1Hard Elo 1275
9.7Overall Elo 1653
ELO gap
0.3Overall Elo 1280
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.23 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.93 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Jeanjean L.Alves C.
Freshness·Dominant
54
86

Jeanjean L.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 90 games (7d) · Alves C.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
33°CPartly cloudy
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw